Based on assumption,establish an airplane damage model under the threat of non-combat warhead,adopt the methodology of Monte Carlo and calculate the damage probability of plane s fatal departments through computerized simulation.

The damage models of overpressure and fragments,the lethality models of blast-fragmentation warhead,and the model of missile target encounter are established.

The engineering calculation method for the lethal probability of the blast-fragmentation warhead exploding in the air was introduced.

Based on the flying and distributing character of the fragments,a model of the lethality of blast-fragmentation warhead was built.

This paper study a kind of expert design system of blast and fragmentation warhead,which can rapid model and rapid calculate and analyze the damage power of the warhead.

Based on analyzing the scan and capture of region identify and duty ratio identification,the paper calculates the killing probabilities of MEFP air blast warhead by Monte carlo simulation.

Aiming at the damage characteristic of demolition warhead,a new mode of fuze-warhead coordination that missile detonates with the mode of proximity burst while flying over target,and contact explosion in other state of missile and target encountering,was put forward.

A detonation deformable warhead,can be with concentrated lethal effects on target is designed.