According to the statistical data of Shenzhen in nearly 30 years since implementing reform and opening policy,the paper analyzes the mutual relationships between logistics industry and regional GDP based on the econometric theories such as time series stability tests,Granger causality tests,time series co-integration tests and vector error correction in order to provide a reference for decision.

It is to supply referential advices for decision makers on regional logistics development by analyzing mutual relationships of logistics industry and regional GDP,the sum of import and export in econometric theories on statistical data in Shenzhen nearly 30 years since the reform and opening drive.

Research on Local GDP Forecast Based on Grey Relation Analysis

The population natural growth rate is gradually descending,per capita GDP and annual net income are increasing rapidly,and the system of minimum subsistence allowance is being built up.

The result shows that the main restrictive elements for development are the GDP in the district of Yunnan province,the numbers of international tourist agency and tourist enterprises obtaining employment faculty.

‘Panel Data model’is established by collecting economic data from four regions and cities,selecting regional total output value per capita and disposable income per capita as explanatory variable, and adopting Eviews program.