Popper held that historical irregularity led to unpredictability in history,that the"Oedipus effect"destroyed accuracy and objectivity of historical prediction,and that the "hypothetical deduction" expounded the impossibility of the prediction.

A new method of global prediction for chaotic time series based on continued fractions;

Discussing on the historical limitations of “inner-party cooperation”——The inner-party cooperation has limited the Chinese Communist Party s struggle for the leadership;

Through the analysis on and re-summarization of the historical limitation of the East Asia Model, this paper puts forward the political model for the development of the East Asia.