1) Prediction coincidence ratio
预报符合率
2) probabilistic forecasting
概率预报
1.
The probabilistic forecasting was applied to a case study.
本文在贝叶斯预报系统的框架下,利用BP网络能描述非线性映射的特性建立了基于BP网络的先验密度和似然函数的模型,并采用基于自适应采样算法(Adaptive Metropolis algorithm,简称AM)的马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗模拟方法(Markov Chain Monte Carlo,简称MCMC)求解流量的后验密度,最后给出流量的概率预报。
3) Probability forecast
概率预报
1.
The autoregressive model is applied to the monthly runoff probability forecast.
把自回归模型用于月径流过程概率预报中。
2.
And by means of quantitative consensus of the forecast field after discriminate analysis and superimposed by the weighing,the forecast indexes and synoptic patterns and the 24-hour heavy rain region probability forecast map are put forward.
根据历史统计和产生暴雨的几个必要条件,选取相关因子进行判别,并按权重进行叠加,得出未来24h暴雨落区概率预报图,在业务应用取得了满意的效果。
5) forecast rate
预报率
1.
In this paper,a Neyman-Pearson overall forecast method is developed to improve the forecast rate on the promise of keeping a given false warning rate.
给出了Neyman-Pearson全局预报方法,以期在保持-给定虚警率的前提下提高预报率。
6) forecast probability
预报概率
1.
This paper investigates the several verification techniques and their skills cores about probability of precipitation (POP),and presents a new reliability index which will be adapted to Chinese POP operation in accordance with the forecast probability and observed frequencys distribution curve.
分析了国内外概率预报评分的几种主要方法及技巧评分过程，并在预报概率与观测频率（ Ｆ Ｐ Ｏ Ｆ）分布曲线的基础上提出一种适合我国降水概率预报评估业务的可信度指数方法。
补充资料：短期天气预报(见天气预报和天气图预报)
短期天气预报(见天气预报和天气图预报)
u。。，，，:‘，anq，yubao短期天气预报见关匀布绍升，二，二一一
说明：补充资料仅用于学习参考，请勿用于其它任何用途。
参考词条